Projected Response of Extreme Precipitation and Atmospheric Radiative Energy (PREPARE)We are interested in monitoring, understanding and improving predictions of changes in the global water and energy cycles, in particular exploting satellite datasets to assess current changes in precipitation and its extremes and the implications for future projections by climate models. (Richard Allan, Lennart Bengtsson) Collaboration: Dr Brian Soden (RSMAS, University of Miami), Dr Igor Zveryaev (Shirshov Institute, Moscow), Dr Mark Ringer, Dr Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo (Met Office), Dr Martin Wild (ETH Zurich) 
Sensitivity of the frequency of precipitation (P) in percentile bins of intensity to changes in sea surface temperature (SST) for climate models (1979-2001) and observations (1987-2004) using (a) linear least squares regression and (b) El Nino minus La Nina composites. Allan, R. P. and B. J. Soden (2008), Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes, Science, 321, p.1481-1484. PDF available John, V.O., R.P. Allan and B.J. Soden (2009), How robust are observed and simulated precipitation responses to tropical ocean warming? Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L14702, doi:10.1029/2009GL038276 PDF available Allan, R. P. and B. J. Soden (2007), Large discrepancy between observed and simulated precipitation trends in the ascending and descending branches of the tropical circulation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L18705, doi:10.1029/2007GL031460 PDF available
|
